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Mortgage Rates 2022: How High are Mortgage Rates? [INFOGRAPHIC]

a man holding a toy house with a calculator

The housing market in 2022 has certainly been characterized by higher mortgage rates as the Fed continues to increase its benchmark Federal Funds rate in an effort to combat inflation. With the Fed making its third 75 basis-point increase at its recent September policy meeting, what does that mean for mortgage rates?

It is important to note that the Fed does not control or set mortgage rates, however, it greatly influences them via monetary policy. Mortgage Rates typically tend to track the 10-year Treasury yield, so when yields rise, mortgage rates tend to go up as well.

 Are Mortgage Rates High Today?

While mortgage rates are currently the highest they have been since approximately 2008, the average rate for 30-year fixed mortgage according to Freddie Mac’s historical data shows that rates have been much higher than they currently are as well. Rates were in excess of 10% for most of the 1980s.

A history timeline of mortgage rates

 Today’s Average 30-year Fixed Rate: 6.43%


via bankrate

While nobody wants to pay higher rates as it can erode home purchasing power, it is not all bad news. Interest Rates are still relatively low compared to historical standards. There are always benefits to homeownership and the predictability in monthly costs that a fixed-rate mortgage provides compared to renting.

Additionally, higher rates have impacted demanded which means there is less competition at certain price points and property types compared to the height of the busy 2021 market. This means that serious Buyers can still find opportunity and value in the market as the regain some of their negotiating power.

Why Buying a Home Just Became Easier

It is not a question that all of us realized the importance of home during the pandemic. The close relationship we formed with home has lead to many individuals assessing their needs as it relates to their current living situation - from renters looking to make roots and buy, to existing home owners trading up, the pandemic has spurred activity within the housing market. 

When it comes to buying a home, the 2 most common roadblocks that buyers may face are the ability to save for a down payment - something that has been typically challenging for student-debt ridden millennials, and qualifying for a mortgage at current lending standards.

Last week, the FHFA announced that it will be raising the loan limits for Confirming Loans in 2022. 

Confirming Loans are the only mortgages that meet the requirements to be acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Any loan that exceeds the confirming limit is considered a non-confirming, or Jumbo Loan.

There are quite a few differences, both pros and cons, to conforming vs. non-confirming loans, however, typically a non-confirming loan has a higher interest rate and down payment requirements because of the risk of the loan. In pricey housing markets, even purchases at the lower end of the market can force buyers into the jumbo loan territory.

The FHFA indicated in a Press Release that the Confirming Loan limit will see a significant increase to $647,200 and that approximately 100 counties will have confirming loan limits approaching $1 million.


What does the increase mean? More homes will now qualify for conforming loans which have lower down payment requirements and easier lending standards. For example, a home that you could afford with 10% down but would result in a non-confirming loan that required 20% down, may now fall into the confirming loan limit allowing for 10% down.

That dream home that you thought was out of reach, may just have become a little bit closer!


Connect with us today to discuss these changes and how they may impact your purchase consideration.

What Do Low Interest Rates Through 2023 Mean for Real Estate?

Fed Low Interest Rates

The Fed signaled in its September policy meeting that it will the federal fund rate in the 0-0.25 percent rage, with the expectation that rates will remain near zero until 2023.

This decision by the Fed did not come as a surprise as some decisions in the recent past given the impact of the Pandemic and the need to sustain liquidity in financial markets. The language from the Fed indicating a direction until at least 2023 does give investors expectations for the next few years, and was a welcome relief for the real estate industry. 

The Fed will continue to buy mortgage-backed securities

The Fed has vowed it will continue to purchase mortgage-backed securities in an effort to ensure that banks keep lending during the downturn. 

This additional liquidity has allowed Mortgage companies to continue to lend money during the pandemic, at what has been a record pace for both refinancing and originations. 

Mortgage Rates Likely to Remain at Historic Lows 

The Fed’s Bond Buying has been instrumental to low mortgage rates. Because of their commitment to continued buying of mortgage-backed securities (number 1), it is likely that mortgage rates will remain at historic lows for the near term. While it not a guarantee, the Fed’s influence on the Bond market has been instrumental, and mortgage rates are most influenced by the bond market.

Existing Homeowners have Low Rates for Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC)

Equity has been on the rise thanks to increasing home prices. With increased equity, and the desire for access to affordable financing, many have turned to HELOCs.

The cost of HELOCs are currently affordable and will likely remain low as they tend to adjust fairly quickly to changes in the federal funds rate. Those that have balances on their HELOC will continue to enjoy low interest expenses.

Overall, low rates are a positive for the real estate market. We have already seen the impact of pent up demand from Buyers during the market with record mortgage origination numbers, and reduced time on market coupled with multiple offer scenarios.

We Sat Down With a Mortgage Expert: Here's What You Need to Know

Interests Rates Extend Declines

Mortgage Rates have been been on the decline year over year, and touched a 16-month low in recent weeks. While rates have been at historic lows for quite some time now, they are once again at very low rates. Near the end of May, the 30-year fixed, the benchmark Mortgage product, was at 3.99%. Many factors are putting downward pressure on Mortgage Rates such as U.S.-Chine Trade War concerns, Brexit, and concerns of weak economic growth.

Given rates are low, now is a great time to lock in a rate if you are considering financing. We often get asked many questions from our Buyers surrounding Mortgages - what’s best for me? Is this a good rate? Given Mortgages are top of mind for many in the current environment, we sat down with Mortgage export, Donna Vitalone, a Senior Lending Officer with Citi.

Victoria Shtainer: What are some of the most important factors to consider when deciding between a fixed rate and adjustable rate mortgage - time in residence? Affordability in the future? Etc.

Donna Vitalone: A number of important factors come to mind that the borrower should consider and weigh when deciding between a fixed rate and an adjustable rate mortgage.  First and foremost is determining where you are in the human life cycle based on your age plus your marital and employment/job status.  I think it’s equally important that the borrower also take into consideration:

  • whether or not it’s the borrower’s first home;

  • the length of time the borrower expects to own the property: 5 years, 10 years, longer than 10 years;

  • is the borrower upwardly mobile or is planning to downsize; 

  • is the borrower’s job the type that could possibly require relocating at any time in the future; 

  • does the borrower have a particular objective with regard to the mortgage such as either having the flexibility to manage monthly cash flow or is likely to rapidly pay down mortgage with bonus income or receipt of a large inheritance.

Victoria Shtainer: What is the most common mistake you see Buyers make when selecting a mortgage, or the biggest misconception about Mortgage product options?

Donna Vitalone: I’d say the most common mistake buyers make when choosing a program is to regard of a mortgage as just a loan when in fact they should consider choosing the program in much the same way they would any other financial planning tool where future plans will likely be given consideration;

Among the many misconceptions the most common I hear is “avoid paying points because it’s expensive”.  However, the truth is paying points can be a smart financial planning tool for primary home buyers who, by taking advantage of federal income tax benefits, by paying points not only buy down their interest rate but also see a reduction in their taxable income.

Victoria Shtainer: If you take a fixed rate loan, and rates drop continue to drop, are you locked in, or do most fixed rates loans give borrowers the flexibility to refinance to a lower rate?

Donna Vitalone: Because most fixed rate mortgage programs do not include prepayment penalties, they give homeowners the ability to take advantage of a lower interest rate environment by refinancing their fixed rate mortgage.  However, in deciding whether to refinance the borrower should be sure to first ask the loan officer to prepare a cost benefit analysis to confirm an advantage exists. 

Victoria Shtainer: As a Buyer, should I be most concerned about my credit score as it relates to getting the best rate?

Donna Vitalone: Definitely; a buyer whose financial house in order is also a borrower with a high credit score and one the bank will regard as being low-risk.  The borrower is certain to save money by the lower interest rate that will most likely be offered by the bank.   

The opposite is true for the buyer with a lower credit score who the bank will see as a high-risk borrower that should expect to be offered a much higher interest rate.  That buyer first think about engaging a credit repair firm that works with borrowers to improve their credit score by removing the derogatory information responsible for impacting their credit.  However, planning ahead is key for the prospective borrower when choosing this approach as the credit repair process often can be a protracted one. 

Victoria Shtainer: What is a Mortgage Product you have been leaning into recently that most Buyers may not be aware exists as an option to finance?

Donna Vitalone: Well there are three programs that come to mind with the first being relationship pricing.  While talking with clients I’ll often try to identify certain eligible assets which can lead to interest rate discounts on their mortgage if moved to my bank.

Another involves buying down the interest rate by paying points because for a client whose looking to manage their monthly payment it sometimes can be a more cost effective strategy than reducing the loan amount with a larger down payment.  This recently came up with one my clients who wanted to have a specific monthly payment.  I was able to show her that spending roughly $20,000 to pay points that would buy down the interest rate turned out to be a less costly approach than reducing her loan amount by adding another $90,000 to her down payment.  Needless to say, she was thrilled. 

Last, for clients wanting liquidity to meet unexpected expenses I’m most likely to suggest taking out Home Equity Line of Credit.

About Donna Vitalone:

Donna joined Citibank in 2018 bringing with her nearly thirty years’ experience in the mortgage banking industry. She has held positions as Market Development Manager, Correspondent Account Executive, Producing Sales Manager and Mortgage Loan Officer with organizations including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo Bank, and Bank of America.  During that time, she has closed over $900 million in residential mortgages and winning many production and management awards as a result. 

 

What Do Rising Interest Rate Mean for the Housing Market?

rising mortgage rates

Mortgage rates of been on the rise lately, with the most recent tear higher garnering quite a bit of attention. The 30-year fixed rate is approaching 5%, a number that hasn’t been seen since around 2011. Remember, while rates are high relatively speaking, rates are still lower than what was observed in the 70s, 80s, and 90s.

The expectation is that rates will continue to rise with economists forecasting we will see 5% by the end of 2018 and could possibly see 6% by the end of 2019. Why are rates rising so rapidly? The most recent jobs report was indicative a strong economy with unemployment the lowest it has been in decades. A strong job market translates to a strong economy, and a strong economy means rising interest rates. 

So, what do rising rates mean for home buyers and the housing market? Remember the following

You Have Mortgage Options 

When headlines and the press speak to mortgage “rates” they are referring to the 30-year fixed rate. This is the most expensive mortgage product as it has the longest built in protection period. But what if you do not plan to be in the home for that long…why pay a premium for time protection that you may not need?

Many buyers are shocked to see all the various mortgage products that exist when they sit down and discuss their needs and options with a Mortgage Broker. A qualified Mortgage Broker will be able to advise on which product makes the most sense given your qualifications and time horizon. 

Control What You Can 

There are aspects that you can control when it comes to financing your home and getting the best rate possible. Two of the biggest influencing factors are 1) down payment and 2) credit score. 

Down payment:

The amount of money you put down on a home is one of the biggest tools you can use to lower your monthly payment because the more you put down, the less money you are borrowing. We understand getting a substantial down payment can be challenging, especially for first-time homebuyers who may be younger and faced with high student debt.

It is also important to remember that any down payment 20% or greater will remove the need for Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) which can be a substantial savings on your monthly payment.

Credit Score:

If you have ever borrowed money, you know the importance of a strong credit score as it relates to getting the most favorable rates. Yes, you do not need the best credit score out there to qualify for a mortgage, however, the better your score the better the rate you will receive which means the lower your monthly payment will be. Turning a credit score around can take some time, so if purchasing a home with financing is in your future and your credit is damaged, start working hard now to get it on the rebound.

Tax Benefits

There are tax benefits to having a mortgage which are something to consider. While many do not know exactly where they stand in terms of tax liability given the new changes to tax code, we expect to get more clarity after filing 2018 returns.  

With that said, interest paid on a mortgage is generally tax deductible. Under the new tax laws, if you take out a new mortgage, you can deduct up to $750,000 in mortgage interest from your taxes.  In a sense, this makes your effective mortgage payment lower as you are getting benefits when you file your taxes…something to keep in mind.

Questions about taxes? We are not tax advisors and would defer you to your qualified tax advisor who has a full picture of your tax liabilities.

If You Are a Seller

Rising mortgage rates may not only impact buyers, those actually taking on a mortgage, but could also have an impact if you are a seller, so it is important to say abreast of market trends. 

Sellers – enlist the advice of your broker in regard to pricing. Your broker will be attuned to trends in the neighborhood and know if impacts are being felt as a result of rising rates. This is especially important for sellers who are selling property that is more likely to appeal to first-time home buyers who are more pressed for cash and concerned with monthly payments. Will a reduction in price make your property more attainable for them?

It is important for sellers to understand the buyer’s perspective given we are currently in a Buyer’s Market. Buyers are faced with a one-two punch of rising rates plus increased home prices over the past few years. Price your property according to what the market is dictating if you want to sell.

What does it all mean? We feel rising rates will certainly have impact on some home buyers that are on the cusp of affordability, however, we do not feel that rates are at a point where it could completely stall the market and put large downward pressure on pricing. In fact, some pent-up demand may be spurred to “jump” in to the market as affordability (of monthly payments) becomes a concern. People see the pace at which rates are rising and do not want to be priced out because of higher rates in a few months.